Are non-citizens potentially voting in Tuesday’s election?
Yes, according to Old Dominion University Professors Jesse Richman and David Earnest, whowrote an article for The Washington Post highlighting their findings:
Most non-citizens do not register, let alone vote. But enough do that their participation can change the outcome of close races.Because non-citizens tended to favor Democrats (Obama won more than 80 percent of the votes of non-citizens in the 2008 Cooperative Congressional Election Study sample), we find that this participation was large enough to plausibly account for Democratic victories in a few close elections.Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) won election in 2008 with a victory margin of 312 votes. Votes cast by just 0.65 percent of Minnesota non-citizens could account for this margin. It is also possible that non-citizen votes were responsible for Obama’s 2008 victory in North Carolina. Obama won the state by 14,177 votes, so a turnout by 5.1 percent of North Carolina’s adult non-citizens would have provided this victory margin.
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