"Convincing Americans that they should worry about the federal deficit and debt is tough, despite all those warnings about the inevitable crisis.
But the trajectory of the debt is worrisome for one inescapable reason:
When you owe a lot of money and interest rates rise, your interest tab mounts.
Today, interest consumes a bit more than 6% of all federal outlays.
But the latest Congressional Budget Office baseline projections suggest that, without new tax or spending legislation, interest will account for more than 13% of all federal outlays in 2026.
That’s partly because interest rates are expected to rise from today’s very low levels; CBO expects the average yield on 10-year Treasury notes, now around 1.9%, to climb to 4.1% over the next decade.
There will also be more debt on which to pay interest because the government will be borrowing each year to cover the deficit."
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