The massacres in Brussels and Paris are only the latest salvos in a heightening and devastating threat from radical Islamists globally.
They illustrate troubling and much larger trends that the Investigative Project on Terrorism (IPT) has identified in a new analysis based upon its extensive research, sources and multiple databases, including the University of Maryland Global Terrorism Database.
The IPT's analysis reached the following conclusions:
- Islamist attacks in Europe will increase over the next 18 to 24 months.
- Terrorism in Africa will expand numerically and geographically.
- Radical Islamists will further destabilize the Middle East, targeting specifically Jordan, Turkey and Saudi Arabia.
- Jihadists will expand their efforts and focus in South and Southeast Asia.
IPT research found that on average of 3,284 people died in Islamist terror attacks only five years ago.
Today, that average is 28,708 per year....
Looking ahead, the IPT is pessimistic that the numbers will improve in the short and medium term. They are based on the following critical trends identified in the data.
Trend 1: Islamist Terror Engulfs More Lives
The chart below shows the stunning increase in deaths caused by radical Islamic terror since 2001.
Time Period
|
2001-2006
|
2007-2011
|
2012-2013
|
2014-2015
|
Total
|
Annual Attacks
|
302
|
493
|
1,440
|
2,930
|
10,088
|
Annual Fatalities
|
2,508
|
3,284
|
9,537
|
28,708
|
79,244
|
*Final 2015 numbers are not yet available, but they are not expected to significantly alter the IPT's results.
Trend 2: Islamist Terror Shifts Primarily to the Middle East and Africa
Read on!
Read on!
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