"...The gender gap is massive and currently benefits Trump.”
That was Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, commenting on polls conducted in key battleground states Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida conducted April 27 to May 8.
These polls reveal probably the largest gender gap in modern electoral history.
2016 has all of the makings of a classic battle of the sexes between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.
In Pennsylvania for example Trump leads among men by 21 points, while Clinton enjoys a 19-point margin among women.The state is split roughly even as a result, 43 percent for Clinton versus 42 percent for Trump, well within the poll’s 3 percent margin for error.
In Florida, Trump leads men by 13 points and Clinton leads women by 13 points. That state too breaks 43 percent to 42 percent for Clinton.
So long as the gender gap remains relatively evenly split, the 2016 election might be very, very close. But elsewhere in the poll, in spite of conventional wisdom that Trump would be unelectable because of the gender gap, it appears he could win because of it.
...That has got to be terrible news for Clinton campaign. We haven’t even gotten past the party nominations yet and key swing states are already within the margin of error.
But more to the point, U.S. elections for obvious reasons tend to favor the candidate with the most lop-sided support among one gender or another, historical data from Gallup shows.
...Trump appears to be winning with men on an economic set of issues against unbridled trade and immigration and in favor of American jobs and economic growth — which can have broad appeal regardless of gender..."
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