Can we trust Covid modelling? More evidence from Sweden | The Spectator"At last we’re getting a debate about Covid-19 modelling.
When people finally got to look under the hood of the famous Imperial College study, they found twisted and tangled code.
And most of the model’s predictions bear little resemblance to what is actually happening.
Some defend the models by saying that their predictions turned out to be wrong only because governments imposed harsher restrictions than the coders expected.
If so, we have a perfect experiment.
Sweden did not close borders, shut down schools, businesses, restaurants, gyms or shopping centres and did not issue stay at home orders.So it should be the one country where the models fit.
Let’s see...
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