Saturday, July 04, 2020

Modelers Were ‘Astronomically Wrong’ in COVID-19 Predictions, Says Leading Epidemiologist—and the World Is Paying the Price - Foundation for Economic Education

Modelers Were ‘Astronomically Wrong’ in COVID-19 Predictions, Says Leading Epidemiologist—and the World Is Paying the Price - Foundation for Economic Education
"...Ioannidis said medical data suggest the fatality risk is far lower than earlier estimates had led policymakers to believe and “is almost 0%” for individuals under 45 years old.
The median fatality rate is roughly 0.25 percent, however, because the risk “escalates substantially” for individuals over 85 and can be as high as 25 percent for debilitated people in nursing homes.
“The death rate in a given country depends a lot on the age-structure, who are the people infected, and how they are managed,” Ioannidis said.
“For people younger than 45, the infection fatality rate is almost 0%. 
For 45 to 70, it is probably about 0.05-0.3%.
For those above 70, it escalates substantially…”
Because of this, Ioannidis sees mass lockdowns of entire populations as a mistake...
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