Scientists Conclude Dire Climate Change Models Were Wrong, Now What? - Mish Talk - Global Economic Trend Analysis

Scientists Conclude Dire Climate Change Models Were Wrong, Now What? - Mish Talk - Global Economic Trend Analysis

• Scientists admit they did not model clouds accurately and that they need a supercomputer 1000 times more powerful to accurately do that.
• Climate Change Modeling Meets Limits of Science

(The Wall Street Journal reports Climate Scientists Encounter Limits of Computer Models, Bedeviling Policy.-That is a non-paywalled, free-to-read link courtesy of the WSJ.--It's lengthy but an excellent read. I encourage everyone to take a look.)

"The scientists soon concluded their new calculations had been thrown off kilter by the physics of clouds in a warming world, which may amplify or damp climate change. 

“The old way is just wrong, we know that,” said Andrew Gettelman, a physicist at NCAR who specializes in clouds and helped develop the CESM2 model. 

“I think our higher sensitivity is wrong too. It’s probably a consequence of other things we did by making clouds better and more realistic. You solve one problem and create another.”
...In its guidance to governments last year, the U.N. climate-change panel for the first time played down the most extreme forecasts...Read all.