"...How does Putin deescalate the crisis he inaugurated?
Such an outcome is hard to envision now...
- Vladimir Putin’s decision to announce the activation of Russia’s strategic nuclear arsenal is a clear signal to the West that it must pare back its support for Ukraine.
- It’s quite possible that Moscow could label Western nations providing material support to Kyiv co-belligerents in an active war against Russia.
- It could violently interdict weapons shipments into Ukraine, or conduct cyberattacks on vital elements of Western civilian infrastructure...
- Whether by accident or as a shot across NATO’s bow, it’s not hard to imagine a Russian strike on a Western asset that cannot be ignored.
At the moment, there is precisely no appetite in the West for allowing Russia a face-saving way out of this crisis.
- Moscow misjudged its adversaries.
- The West misjudged Russia.
- And Ukraine couldn’t possibly have imagined the outpouring of support for its efforts to sustain the fight. Everyone’s assumptions about how this conflict would play out proved inaccurate.
Those assumptions will need to be replaced with new assumptions...Read all!
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