"According to Patrick Basham, there are such things as “non-polling metrics” --
- things like comparative party registrations,
- turnouts in the primary elections,
- social media followings,
- attendance at campaign rallies
- and other measures that had, prior to the 2020 presidential election, predicted the outcome of presidential elections with 100% accuracy.
In 2020, all these measures pointed to a Trump victory.
- In attendance at campaign rallies, for example, Trump’s average attendance exceeded Biden’s by a average ratio of 343 to 1. And yet Biden won.
- There were other anomalies: “…Biden could win only one of the 19 battleground counties around the U.S., but he supposedly won all of the battleground states.”
...And in 2012, again on postal voting, Adam Liptak of the New York Times wrote:
“Voting by mail is now common enough and problematic enough that election experts say there have been multiple elections in which no one can say with confidence which candidate was the deserved winner.”..."
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