Saturday, May 20, 2023

The 3°C Scenario: What's the economic impact of severe global warming?

The 3°C Scenario: What's the economic impact of severe global warming?
"You may have noticed some concerning climate headlines popping up today in your smartphone notifications:
  • “‘Sounding the alarm’: World on track to breach a critical warming threshold in the next five years” - CNN
  • “Global warming likely to exceed 1.5C within five years, says weather agency” - Financial Times
  • “Global warming set to break key 1.5C limit for first time” - BBC
Chart showing that there is a 66% chance that global temperatures could temporarily exceed 1.5C in at least one year between 2023-27. Temperatures could reach as high as 1.8C above pre-industrial levels
As the above FT chart neatly shows, the newsy forecast is about breaching the 1.5°C level in a single year, not a permanent increase...

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