Wednesday, July 26, 2023

Lies, damn lies, and statistics: covid booster edition

Lies, damn lies, and statistics: covid booster edition - DAVID STROM
  • What if I told you that getting a COVID booster reduced your chance of death from COVID by 90%?
  • Sounds pretty good.
  • What if I told you that getting a COVID booster reduced your chance of death from any cause by 90%?
Sounds great!
Except, wait, wat? 
Is the COVID booster magic or something? 
How does it reduce the cause of death by 90%? 
Does it cure cancer? 
Liver disease? 
Heart attacks?...

In simplified form, the study claimed that COVID boosters reduced deaths from COVID by 90%. Great news!

Only Prasad took a ..deep dive into the research and discovered that deaths from all causes in the boosted group were about 90% lower, suggesting that some other factor was involved. Prasad couldn’t get the underlying data about the patients, but clearly, something was wrong with the population groups. Some non-random factors.

And boom! It looks like there is one: much of the non-boosted population was people in hospitals who did not receive the booster due to life-threatening conditions. This comes straight from the researchers’ response to Prasad.

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