Michael E. Mann’s Forecast Fiasco

Well, the 2024 hurricane season has come to an end and we can now close out Michael E. Mann’s forecast—delivering a prediction so spectacularly off-target it could make a dartboard blush. - Charles Rotter  

Instead of the hurricane Armageddon Mann foresaw, we ended up with a grand total of 18 named storms—a far cry from the 33 he predicted. 

For perspective, that 18 is just barely above the historical average of 14.
And for Mann, whose forecast has been roundly criticized as one of the most inaccurate in recent memory, it’s more like a monument to overconfidence...