Below is my annotated version of NOAA’s monthly graph showing the amount of sunspot activity on the Earth-facing hemisphere of the Sun.
This graph is significantly different from the graph that NOAA’s scientists have issued for the past few years, with all the changes designed to make it seem as if these scientists’ predictions are on the money, when they have been entirely wrong now for two solar cycles in a row.
The graph above has been modified to show the predictions of the solar science community for both the previous solar maximum as well as the ongoing maximum.
The graph above has been modified to show the predictions of the solar science community for both the previous solar maximum as well as the ongoing maximum.
- The green curves show the community’s two original predictions from April 2007 for the previous maximum, with half the scientists predicting a very strong maximum and half predicting a weak one.
- The blue curve is their revised May 2009 prediction.
- The red curve is the new prediction, first posted by NOAA in April 2020.
I have also annotated this graph to indicate the changes these government NOAA scientists have made. First, their default graph visible to the public no longer includes the red curve showing their failed prediction for this solar maximum...
Second, and more egregious, these scientists added a new prediction — the blue line surrounded by a multi-colored range indicating margin of error — suggesting they now think the solar maximum is over and that the Sun is starting its ramp down to minimum.
Second, and more egregious, these scientists added a new prediction — the blue line surrounded by a multi-colored range indicating margin of error — suggesting they now think the solar maximum is over and that the Sun is starting its ramp down to minimum.
Only if you dig into the webpage in one of the explanatory tabs below the graphs do you discover that this new prediction was added last month as “a recalibration of the 2019 Panel prediction based on new observational data.”...
