Coming to the Midwestsoon??!!-----This RTO Could See Blackouts By 2028

Save the coal, spare the blackouts - Surprise! It’s MISO 

In its 2024 Long-Term Reliability Assessment (LTRA), the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) identified the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) as the region most at risk of rolling blackouts, stating the regional transmission organization (RTO) “falls below established resource adequacy criteria in the next five years.”
NERC warns:

MISO’s capacity resource turnover continues to occur with coal unit contributions being primarily replaced by solar, wind, and battery facilities...

This prompted us to wonder: 

• How soon could we reasonably expect the first blackouts to affect the region, based on announced coal retirements and historical fluctuations in hourly wind and solar generation, as well as electricity demand? 
• And how bad might these blackouts be if more reliable power plants are retired through 2030?...